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基于證據理論的溫室投資風險效益評估專家系統(tǒng)
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國家自然科學基金資助項目(30771259),、江蘇省科技支撐計劃資助項目(BE2010347),、江蘇省高?;A研究重大項目(08KJA210001)和江蘇大學人才啟動基金資助項目(06JDG038)


Expert System for Investment Risk-benefit Assessment of Greenhouse Based on D-S Evidence Theory
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    通過建立溫室投資風險效益評估指標體系,,利用修正層次分析法建立各因素之間的權重,采用D-S證據理論方法建立溫室投資風險效益評估模型,,并開發(fā)溫室投資風險效益評估專家系統(tǒng),。系統(tǒng)可通過不同專家進行評估,,再進行溫室投資方案的綜合評估,,為溫室投資者選擇合適的溫室結構類型提供參考依據,。

    Abstract:

    In order to analyze the risk-benefit assessment for greenhouse investment, risk-benefit assessment index system for greenhouse investment was established, and the weight of the factors was determined by using revised analytic hierarchy process. The riskbenefit assessment model of greenhouse investment was established based on D-S evidence theory. Expert system for risk-benefit assessment of greenhouse investment was developed. By means of the expert system, each expert can give the assessment for every program, and then the system assesses the risk-benefit comprehensively according to the ideas of each expert. The result can provide the basis for the investors to choose the proper greenhouse structure.

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王紀章,李冬生,李萍萍.基于證據理論的溫室投資風險效益評估專家系統(tǒng)[J].農業(yè)機械學報,2011,42(5):203-207. Wang Jizhang. Expert System for Investment Risk-benefit Assessment of Greenhouse Based on D-S Evidence Theory[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2011,42(5):203-207.

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