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基于EFAST的CERES-Wheat模型土壤參數(shù)敏感性分析
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(51879072)、江蘇省水利科技項(xiàng)目(2018051)和貴州省水利科技項(xiàng)目(KT201817)


Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Input Parameters of CERES-Wheat Model Based on EFAST Method
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    摘要:

    為了定量討論DSSAT-CERES-Wheat模型中土壤參數(shù)對(duì)模擬結(jié)果的影響,,運(yùn)用擴(kuò)展傅里葉幅度檢驗(yàn)(EFAST)法,,對(duì)影響冬小麥生產(chǎn)及生態(tài)系統(tǒng)中氮素分布的2類模型參數(shù)進(jìn)行了敏感性研究,重點(diǎn)探討了模型中土壤參數(shù)變化對(duì)模型模擬的冬小麥產(chǎn)量,、冬小麥氮素分布,、土壤氮素分布及土壤氮素轉(zhuǎn)化的影響。結(jié)果表明:對(duì)冬小麥產(chǎn)量,、地上生物量及收獲指數(shù)影響最敏感的土壤參數(shù)為田間持水率,,其次是土壤酸堿度;對(duì)冬小麥地上生物量中氮素含量影響最敏感的土壤參數(shù)為土壤酸堿度,,對(duì)冬小麥籽粒中氮素含量影響最敏感的參數(shù)為田間持水率,,對(duì)冬小麥根和葉中氮素含量影響最敏感的土壤參數(shù)則為土壤總氮含量;對(duì)作物吸收土壤中氮素影響最敏感的參數(shù)是徑流曲線數(shù),,對(duì)土壤氮淋失量影響最敏感的參數(shù)為排水比率,,對(duì)土壤中硝態(tài)氮、銨態(tài)氮含量影響最敏感的參數(shù)為土壤總氮含量,;對(duì)土壤中氮素礦化和硝化影響最敏感的土壤參數(shù)為土壤總氮含量,,對(duì)土壤氮素反硝化影響最敏感的參數(shù)為排水比率,對(duì)氨揮發(fā)量影響最敏感的參數(shù)為土壤總氮含量,,氨揮發(fā)量對(duì)排水比率和土壤酸堿度的變化也較敏感,。當(dāng)側(cè)重于模擬冬小麥產(chǎn)量及作物氮素研究時(shí),原需測(cè)量的15個(gè)土壤參數(shù)可簡(jiǎn)化為4個(gè),,而當(dāng)側(cè)重于土壤氮素轉(zhuǎn)化及分布研究時(shí),,可簡(jiǎn)化為重點(diǎn)測(cè)量的9個(gè)參數(shù)。本研究可降低CERES-Wheat模型土壤參數(shù)獲取難度,,方便模型本地化,、區(qū)域化應(yīng)用。

    Abstract:

    In order to quantify the impacts of soil input parameters on the sensitivity of CERES-Wheat output variables, the extended Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (EFAST) method was used to study the global sensitivity analysis. The most sensitive parameters for yield, tops biomass and harvest index of winter wheat were soil field capacity (SDUL), followed by soil pH (SLHB) among the soil parameters. SDUL was also the most sensitive parameter for nitrogen content in grains, while SLHB was the most sensitive parameter for nitrogen content in tops biomass of winter wheat. Among the soil parameters, the most sensitive parameters for nitrogen content in root and leaf of winter wheat were both total nitrogen in soil (SLNI), with the first order sensitivity index value of 0.67 and 0.59, respectively. The runoff curve number (SLRO) and SDUL were more sensitive for the plant uptake nitrogen content than other soil parameters. Soil drainage rate (SLDR) was the most sensitive parameter for nitrogen leached during season, while SLNI was the most sensitive to total soil nitrate nitrogen and ammonium nitrogen content. SLNI was also the most sensitive parameter for nitrogen mineralization content and nitrification content, while the nitrogen denitrification content was most affected by SLDR. The ammonia volatilization content was sensitive to SLNI, SLHB and SLDR. Furthermore, all 15 soil parameters that should have been measured can be simplified to four parameters when the research focus on the simulation of winter wheat production and crop nitrogen, and all the soil parameters can be simplified to nine parameters when the research focus on the simulation of soil nitrogen transformation and distribution. The research result provided a feasible method to decrease the difficulty in obtaining soil data for CERES-Wheat model, which can benefit model localization and regional application.

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崔金濤,丁繼輝,YESILEKIN Nebi,鄧升,邵光成.基于EFAST的CERES-Wheat模型土壤參數(shù)敏感性分析[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2020,51(12):276-283. CUI Jintao, DING Jihui, YESILEKIN Nebi, DENG Sheng, SHAO Guangcheng. Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Input Parameters of CERES-Wheat Model Based on EFAST Method[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2020,51(12):276-283.

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  • 收稿日期:2020-02-19
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2020-12-10
  • 出版日期: 2020-12-10
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