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基于1D CNN-GRU的日光溫室溫度預測模型研究
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國家重點研發(fā)計劃項目(2020YFD1100602)和陜西省重點研發(fā)計劃項目(2021ZDLNY03-02)


Solar Greenhouse Temperature Prediction Model Based on 1D CNN-GRU
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    摘要:

    準確預測日光溫室溫度是實現(xiàn)溫室高效調控的關鍵,對作物生長發(fā)育具有重要意義,,但因溫度具有時序性,、非線性及多耦合性等特征,難以實現(xiàn)連續(xù)、精準,、長時化預測,。提出了一種基于1D CNN-GRU(One dimensional convolutional neural networks-gated recurrent unit)的日光溫室溫度預測模型,通過溫室內外監(jiān)測平臺獲取內外環(huán)境因子,,以斯皮爾曼相關系數(shù)獲取相關性強特征,,構造特征與時間步長的二維矩陣輸入網絡進行溫度預測,模型在測試集上預測1~4h后的決定系數(shù)為0.970~0.994,,均方根誤差為0.612~1.358℃,,平均絕對誤差為0.428~0.854℃,絕對值的最大絕對誤差為0.856~1.959℃,。并在不同清晰度指數(shù)KT下進行驗證,,結果表明,模型在KT≥0.5(晴)時預測效果最好,,且在其他KT下模型相對誤差在10%以內,,可以達到溫室生產所需的預測精度要求,為日光溫室精準高效控溫提供了重要依據(jù),。

    Abstract:

    Accurate prediction of heliostat temperature was the key to achieve efficient greenhouse regulation, which was of great importance to crop growth and development, but it was difficult to achieve continuous and accurate prediction due to the characteristics of time series, nonlinearity and multi coupling of temperature. At the same time, the current production regulation of greenhouse mostly depended on the relevant experience of producers. This method had caused the lag of feedback control and affected the growth of crops.A temperature prediction model of solar greenhouse based on 1D CNN-GRU was proposed. The internal and external environmental factors were obtained through the monitoring platform inside and outside the greenhouse, and the strong correlation features and structural features were obtained by Spearman correlation coefficient and the two-dimensional matrix input network with time step, which was used for temperature prediction. The determination coefficient of the model after 1~4h prediction on the test set was 0.970~0.994, the root mean square error was 0.612~1.358℃, the average error was 0.428~0.854℃,and the maximum absolute error after the absolute value was 0.856~1.959℃. The model was verified under different KT and the results showed that the model had the best prediction effect when KT≥0.5(sunny), and the model also achieved ideal prediction accuracy under other KT, indicating that the model was universal and provided an important basis for accurate and efficient temperature control of solar greenhouse.

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胡瑾,雷文曄,盧有琦,魏子朝,劉行行,高茂盛.基于1D CNN-GRU的日光溫室溫度預測模型研究[J].農業(yè)機械學報,2023,54(8):339-346. HU Jin, LEI Wenye, LU Youqi, WEI Zichao, LIU Hangxing, GAO Maosheng. Solar Greenhouse Temperature Prediction Model Based on 1D CNN-GRU[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2023,54(8):339-346.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-12-08
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2023-02-10
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